Carlos Cosín

The Evolution of U.S. Water Policy under the new Trump Administration: Will it be a Battle Between Sustainability and Deregulation?

The inauguration of President Donald Trump on January 20, 2025, has signalled a shift in U.S. water policy, reflecting broader changes in environmental and sustainability strategies. This article examines anticipated developments in water policy, contextualised within sustainability concerns, ESG considerations, and major fiscal initiatives such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL). Key issues include potential policy pushback, intensified fiscal stimulus to address infrastructure gaps, and the resilience of the IRA.

Shifting Environmental Priorities

In his first weeks in office, President Trump issued 45 executive orders, marking a departure from previous environmental policies. Notably, an executive order on January 27, 2025, directed the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation to increase water and hydropower deliveries through the Central Valley Project (CVP) in California, overriding potential conflicts with state laws. Additionally, the administration withdrew from the Paris Agreement, implementing a freeze on climate and infrastructure grants funded by the IRA, despite federal court orders mandating their continuation. This affects major programmes such as the $5 billion Climate Pollution Reduction Grant and the $7 billion Solar for All programme, which includes solar-powered decentralised desalination initiatives.

Water Policy as a Battleground

Water policy under the Trump administration is emerging as a central issue in broader environmental deregulation. The administration’s focus on expanding water infrastructure in arid regions aligns with goals to boost industrial and agricultural productivity. While this could be approached in such a way that long-term water security is supported reuse and desalination, concerns persist over ecosystem degradation and state water rights if conventional infrastructures are deployed rather.

One of the most significant moves is redefining the Clean Water Act (CWA) and Waters of the United States (WOTUS) rule, that outlines the scope of federal jurisdiction under the CWA, thus reducing federal protections for wetlands and smaller streams while granting more control to states and private landowners. Critics claim this could increase pollution and hinder circular economy approaches such as reclaimed water reuse.

Additionally, the administration supports major water diversion projects, including the California Delta Tunnel (72 km) and increased extraction from the Colorado River. The California Delta Tunnel aims to secure water supply for 27 million Californians and over 300,000 hectares of cropland but faces opposition over water depletion and ecological concerns.

The Inflation Reduction Act Under Pressure

The IRA, enacted in 2022, committed $369 billion to climate initiatives, including $10 billion for water-related projects such as drought relief and flood mitigation. It also allocated $4 billion for Western U.S. drought mitigation and nearly $20 billion for voluntary water conservation efforts.

However, the suspension of IRA-funded grants and executive orders undermining environmental protections raise concerns about the act’s enforceability. The clash between federal directives and sustainability goals creates a complex policy environment.

Balancing Fiscal Stimulus with Sustainability

The administration’s fiscal stimulus approach presents both opportunities and challenges for water policy. While investment in water infrastructure can enhance resilience, prioritisation of traditional projects—such as dams and water diversions—may conflict with sustainability goals. The Central Valley Project expansion highlights this tension, emphasising resource utilisation over long-term conservation.

Additionally, deregulation of water utilities and increased private sector involvement could reshape the industry. While proponents argue privatisation boosts efficiency and infrastructure investment, critics warn it could increase consumer costs and reduce accountability in water quality standards.

Potential Policy Backlash

The administration’s actions indicate a shift away from established sustainability and ESG frameworks, which had already started prior to President Trump taking office. Policies prioritising economic objectives over environmental protections risk escalating tensions with state governments, particularly in California, where environmental regulations are stricter. The federal push to expand water extraction from the Colorado River further exacerbates concerns about long-term water security, which could be mitigated with a sound approach towards the diversification of water supply sources (i.e., reclaimed water reuse and desalination of saltwater and brackish water).

Despite these challenges, the IRA’s funding allocations provide a strong foundation for sustainability initiatives. The act’s emphasis on climate resilience and conservation aligns with long-term environmental and economic objectives. However, its effectiveness depends on legislative protections and the administration’s commitment to implementation. Legal challenges from state governments and environmental organisations may play a crucial role in upholding IRA provisions.

Future Outlook for U.S. Water Policy

The next four years will be decisive in shaping U.S. water policy. Key questions include:

  • Will state governments and environmental groups succeed in challenging federal rollbacks?
  • Can bipartisan efforts secure continued IRA funding?
  • How will international trade and investment treaties influence domestic water policy?

While the administration appears committed to deregulation, stakeholders must navigate this evolving landscape to ensure sustainable water management remains a priority.

Conclusion

The Trump administration’s reorientation of U.S. water policy prioritises economic and infrastructure gains over environmental sustainability at first sight. The tension between federal policies, state regulations, and IRA provisions defines a highly dynamic policy landscape, one we should closely follow up.

As these policies unfold, the balance between immediate infrastructural needs and long-term sustainability will be pivotal in ensuring water security for future generations.

 

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